Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001276 0.001341 0.001409 0.001483 0.001562 0.001645 0.001738
2025-06-29 0.001161 0.001255 0.001354 0.001468 0.001595 0.001732 0.001893
2025-07-06 0.001076 0.001187 0.001308 0.001451 0.001615 0.001799 0.002022
2025-07-13 0.000997 0.001118 0.001253 0.001416 0.001608 0.001829 0.002105
2025-07-20 0.000955 0.001087 0.001236 0.001420 0.001642 0.001905 0.002242
2025-07-27 0.000922 0.001063 0.001225 0.001429 0.001680 0.001984 0.002384
2025-08-03 0.000898 0.001047 0.001222 0.001445 0.001727 0.002074 0.002543
2025-08-10 0.000867 0.001021 0.001205 0.001442 0.001747 0.002131 0.002661
2025-08-17 0.000826 0.000980 0.001167 0.001411 0.001730 0.002137 0.002710
2025-08-24 0.000794 0.000950 0.001140 0.001393 0.001726 0.002159 0.002781
2025-08-31 0.000773 0.000932 0.001129 0.001393 0.001747 0.002214 0.002899
2025-09-07 0.000748 0.000909 0.001109 0.001381 0.001750 0.002245 0.002982
2025-09-14 0.000725 0.000888 0.001093 0.001375 0.001764 0.002294 0.003100
2025-09-21 0.000701 0.000864 0.001073 0.001363 0.001768 0.002330 0.003203
2025-09-28 0.000677 0.000841 0.001051 0.001348 0.001768 0.002359 0.003296
2025-10-05 0.000648 0.000810 0.001019 0.001316 0.001742 0.002350 0.003329
2025-10-12 0.000635 0.000798 0.001012 0.001320 0.001767 0.002416 0.003482
2025-10-19 0.000623 0.000789 0.001009 0.001328 0.001798 0.002491 0.003654
2025-10-26 0.000615 0.000785 0.001010 0.001343 0.001839 0.002585 0.003862
2025-11-02 0.000602 0.000772 0.001000 0.001341 0.001854 0.002637 0.004004
2025-11-09 0.000580 0.000747 0.000973 0.001312 0.001829 0.002625 0.004034
2025-11-16 0.000563 0.000729 0.000954 0.001295 0.001819 0.002637 0.004107
2025-11-23 0.000553 0.000719 0.000948 0.001296 0.001837 0.002693 0.004261